This model can simulate the spread of the flu. In this world, there are 500 turtles, which is about the population of our middle school:
- Blue turtles represent healthy people who can catch the flu
- Red turtles represent people sick with the flu
- White turtles represent people who have recovered from being sick after a stint of time and are now immune from catching it again
Part 1. Establish a baseline. A baseline is like a control group, a starting point for comparison's sake. Use these values:
- 498 healthy people at the start
- 2 infected people at the start
- Set the transmission rate to 15%, which was the transmission rate of the flu virus during the 2017-2018 flu season.
- Set the recovery rate to 15, which means 15% of infected recover each "tick of time".
- Run the model and observe the disease transmission. Transmission can be measured by the total number of people who get sick in the population and/or how quickly people get infected.
Part 2: Now, pick a variable to manipulate in the model and observe how it impacts disease transmission compared to the baseline. Complete the assessment sheet to record your choice, data and interpretations. You will need to make changes to the code or sliders to test your variable You have the rest of class. Have fun and good luck!